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對於海外觀察人士而言,這種視角不難理解,過去十年,中國軍隊中的派系鬥爭被深入討論——一方是張又俠為首的「西北-裝備系」,包括李尚福等人;另一方是苗華、何衛東為核心的「東南-政工系」,扎根福建第31集團軍。
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But in the worst worst-case scenario, we don’t have any control. Instead, the station will crack through the atmosphere. Sure, many pieces will likely end up in the ocean, but some might hit people, possibly in a town or a city. The station could break apart across thousands of miles and multiple continents. This would be exceedingly hard to anticipate. As NASA puts it, “Calculating the probability of this penetration cascading into loss of deorbit capability has a very large range of variables, making predictions ineffective.”
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